Michigan State

Big Ten
4-8
222.7
PASS YDS/G
123.6
RUSH YDS/G
24.6
PTS FOR/G
29.9
PTS AGAINST/G
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model ยท 2025
Overall
-3.4
#82 Nationally
Offense
26.6
#70 Nationally
Defense
28.7
#81 Nationally
Special Teams
-1.3
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
11.2
2021
#28
1.2
2022
#67
-6.8
2023
#87
-4.6
2024
#90
-3.4
2025
#82
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#57
196.1 pts
2024 Class
#42
203.5 pts
2023 Class
#24
224.9 pts
2022 Class
#24
221.8 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
13.5%
Front 7 Havoc
8.8%
DB Havoc
4.7%
Off Field Pos
72.7 yd line
Advanced Stats โ€” Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams ยท Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80โ€“99
60โ€“79
45โ€“59
25โ€“44
1โ€“24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
29
0.125
Success Rate
42
41.7%
Explosiveness
29
1.208
Power Success
19
64.7%
Stuff Rate
3
25.4%
Line Yards / Carry
6
2.56
2nd Level Yards
62
1.11
Open Field Yards
50
1.21
Rush EPA / Play
29
0.061
Pass EPA / Play
46
0.237
Rush Success Rate
38
42.5%
Pass Success Rate
51
41.8%
Rush Explosiveness
46
0.955
Pass Explosiveness
18
1.436
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
24
0.21
Success Rate Allowed
15
45.2%
Explosiveness Allowed
78
1.184
Power Success Allowed
8
81.2%
Stuff Rate
24
16.8%
Line Yards Allowed
51
2.87
2nd Level Yds Allowed
39
1.09
Open Field Yds Allowed
17
1.5
Rush EPA Allowed
26
0.16
Pass EPA Allowed
24
0.32
Rush Success Allowed
11
47.4%
Pass Success Allowed
24
44.1%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
68
0.911
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
75
1.469
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" โ€” gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and โ‰ค2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5โ€“10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#72
Carter
LT
#77
Dennis
LG
#55
Johnson
C
#67
Lorius
RG
#58
Moore
RT
#13
McCray
WR1
#12
Velling
TE
#3
Bullard Jr.
WR2
#11
Milivojevic
QB
#7
Tullis
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds โ†“ TD INT Pct Y/A
01
A
Aidan Chiles
128 203 1392 10 3 63.1% 6.9
02 111 173 1267 10 3 64.2% 7.3
03 1 2 13 0 0 50.0% 6.5
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
M
Makhi Frazier
โ€” 520 4.5 2 49
02 โ€” 428 5.9 2 85
03 โ€” 297 4.4 4 35
04
A
Aidan Chiles
โ€” 227 2.8 6 64
05 โ€” 33 5.5 0 16
06 โ€” 20 10.0 0 14
07
N
Nick Marsh
โ€” 11 3.7 0 9
08 โ€” 6 3.0 1 8
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
N
Nick Marsh
59 662 11.2 6 48
02 47 626 13.3 2 75
03 36 359 10.0 3 28
04
C
Chrishon Mccray
24 330 13.8 3 45
05
M
Michael Masunas
19 232 12.2 3 28
06 18 139 7.7 0 32
07 5 119 23.8 1 71
08 11 82 7.5 0 24
09
E
Evan Boyd
3 54 18.0 0 22
10
M
Makhi Frazier
12 25 2.1 0 12
11 1 16 16.0 0 16
12 2 11 5.5 1 6
13 1 8 8.0 0 8
14 1 8 8.0 0 8
15 1 1 1.0 1 1
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot โ†“ TFL Sacks Int PD
01 47 โ€” 88 4 2 โ€” 1
02 32 โ€” 73 4 0 โ€” 1
03 35 โ€” 52 3 2 โ€” 5
04
A
Alex VanSumeren
16 โ€” 50 2 1 โ€” 1
05 31 โ€” 49 5 1 โ€” 6
06
A
Armorion Smith
22 โ€” 36 1 0 โ€” 1
07
D
Darius Snow
17 โ€” 34 3 1 โ€” โ€”
08
J
Jalen Thompson
15 โ€” 29 5 2 โ€” 1
09 14 โ€” 25 5 2 โ€” โ€”
10 15 โ€” 25 1 1 โ€” โ€”
11 7 โ€” 25 3 1 โ€” 2
12 17 โ€” 24 0 0 โ€” โ€”
13
D
David Santiago
10 โ€” 24 2 1 โ€” 1
14 13 โ€” 19 0 0 โ€” 2
15
A
Aydan West
13 โ€” 19 1 0 โ€” 1
16
A
Ade Willie
8 โ€” 16 2 0 โ€” 1
17 8 โ€” 15 0 0 โ€” 1
18 12 โ€” 15 0 0 โ€” โ€”
19 5 โ€” 14 1 0 โ€” โ€”
20 11 โ€” 13 2 2 โ€” โ€”
21
C
Cam Williams
6 โ€” 13 2 0 โ€” 1
22
A
Aisea Moa
9 โ€” 12 1 0 โ€” 1
23 4 โ€” 11 0 0 โ€” โ€”
24
M
Marcellius Pulliam
4 โ€” 8 0 0 โ€” โ€”
25 5 โ€” 8 0 0 โ€” โ€”
26
C
Chance Rucker
5 โ€” 7 0 0 โ€” 2
27 6 โ€” 7 2 2 โ€” โ€”
28 4 โ€” 6 1 0 โ€” โ€”
29 3 โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” โ€”
30 โ€” โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
31 4 โ€” 4 1 0 โ€” 2
32 3 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
33 1 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” 1
34
J
Jeremiah Hughes
2 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
35 2 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
36
T
Tyler Gillison
โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
37 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
38
J
Justin Denson
1 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
39 1 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
40 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
41 1 โ€” 2 1 0 โ€” โ€”
42
J
Jack Wills
โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
43 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
44 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
45 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
46
A
Aidan Chiles
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
47 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
48 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
49 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
50
G
George Mullins
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
51 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
52 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
M
Martin Connington
12 16 75.0% 50
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
49 2378 48.5 60
3 108 36.0 49
A
Aidan Chiles
1 40 40.0 40
Offense
43 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
QB 6'2" 200 lbs Sr
QB 6'3" 215 lbs Fr
QB 6'4" 216 lbs Fr
QB 6'2" 218 lbs Fr
RB 5'10" 208 lbs Fr
Jay Coyne #44
FB 6'1" 230 lbs Jr
RB 5'11" 210 lbs Jr
Zion Gist #28
RB 5'11" 205 lbs Fr
RB 5'10" 202 lbs Fr
RB 6'1" 238 lbs Fr
RB 5'10" 210 lbs Jr
RB 6'1" 227 lbs So
RB 5'9" 190 lbs So
RB 5'10" 218 lbs Jr
WR 6'0" 186 lbs Sr
WR 6'0" 198 lbs So
WR 6'1" 182 lbs So
WR 6'0" 176 lbs Fr
WR 6'1" 192 lbs Fr
WR 5'10" 171 lbs Jr
WR 6'1" 191 lbs Jr
KK Smith #11
WR 6'0" 177 lbs So
WR 6'0" 178 lbs Fr
WR 6'1" 219 lbs Fr
WR 6'3" 202 lbs So
TE 6'4" 248 lbs Fr
TE 6'5" 251 lbs Jr
Kai Rios #88
TE 6'6" 263 lbs Jr
TE 6'4" 240 lbs Fr
TE 6'5" 245 lbs Sr
TE 6'5" 253 lbs So
OL 6'3" 305 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 288 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 294 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 305 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 306 lbs Jr
OL 6'7" 335 lbs Jr
OL 6'4" 281 lbs Fr
OL 6'6" 335 lbs Fr
OL 6'2" 340 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 305 lbs Jr
OL 6'4" 295 lbs So
OL 6'4" 296 lbs Fr
Defense
47 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
EDGE 6'3" 246 lbs Fr
EDGE 6'2" 239 lbs Fr
EDGE 6'6" 253 lbs Sr
DL 6'2" 293 lbs Fr
DL 6'5" 325 lbs Sr
DL 6'2" 255 lbs Fr
DL 6'7" 275 lbs So
DL 6'4" 257 lbs Sr
DT 6'4" 270 lbs Fr
DL 6'2" 295 lbs Sr
DL 6'7" 311 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 335 lbs Jr
DL 6'1" 293 lbs Sr
DL 6'3" 297 lbs Fr
DL 6'4" 247 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 230 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 231 lbs So
LB 6'1" 232 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 227 lbs Sr
LB 6'3" 238 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 235 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 230 lbs Sr
LB 5'11" 213 lbs Jr
LB 6'0" 238 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 237 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 231 lbs Sr
LB 6'1" 231 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 219 lbs Fr
DB 6'2" 188 lbs Sr
DB 6'2" 205 lbs Jr
DB 6'0" 170 lbs Sr
DB 6'1" 182 lbs So
DB 5'11" 189 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 200 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 198 lbs Jr
DB 6'1" 189 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 190 lbs Fr
DB 6'0" 189 lbs So
DB 5'11" 195 lbs Jr
DB 5'11" 197 lbs Sr
DB 5'11" 195 lbs Sr
DB 6'2" 186 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 160 lbs Jr
DB 5'11" 178 lbs Jr
DB 6'1" 191 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 182 lbs Fr
DB 6'0" 192 lbs Fr
Special Teams
3 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
P 6'4" 223 lbs So
P 6'1" 172 lbs Sr
LS 6'4" 207 lbs So